Kia ora koutou
In this issue:
- Course profile: Tier One Part Two
- Meet the RRANZ team - Dave Parsons
- What does the future hold?
- Upcoming courses
Course Profile: Tier One Part Two
This course, the second part of our Tier One Response and Recovery Leadership Development Programme, is an intensive face-to-face week.
It includes content on engaging with iwi, working with communities, understanding psycho-social impacts, making good decisions, and looking after yourself and your team.
There are also practical exercises that will challenge you to bring a team together to solve novel and complex problems, get to know some new EM colleagues, and hopefully have some fun along with a lot of learning.
Meet the RRANZ Team: Dave Parsons
Over the next few newsletters, we will introduce you to the people who make up the RANZ team. First up, Dave Parsons - who some of you may have met 'virtually' or in-person when attending one of our courses.
Dave is an Aussie, living in Katoomba in the Blue Mountains, 100km west of Sydney in the midst of bushfire country. He also has a farm near Oberon (further inland in the Blue Mountains area) which hosts dozens of kangaroos and wombats (and some unwelcome feral cats - 25 caught so far). At 1200m above sea level, there can be snow in winter, but after last year's big record snowfall event causing extensive damage, Dave now hates snow.
After a long career in EM, he now spends much of his time creating and delivering training across a broad spectrum of EM levels. He is a passionate believer in evidence-based practice and is highly skilled at converting the best research from the many different disciplines that impact EM into wisdom for practitioners.
On Mondays, Dave cares for his two young granddaughters, Remy and Lucca, unleashing his creativity with playdoh and building cubby houses.
WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD?
Recent history shows us a world of Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity.
Beyond Covid, what does the future look like?
We have pulled together some reports to help you think about what emergency management may look like in the future. For us, the RRANZ team, this means reflecting on what capabilities EM leaders will need in the future so we can keep delivering timely and relevant training.
- World Economic Forum Global Risks Report 2022
This report tracks global risks perceptions among risk experts and world leaders in business, government, and civil society and examines risks across five categories: economic, environmental, geopolitical, societal, and technological.
- Surviving and Thriving in the 21st Century
From the Commission for the Human Future, a report from a roundtable discussion and call to action on global catastrophic risks.
- Global Trends 2040
From the National Intelligence Council, a look at four structural forces that will shape the future – demographics, the environment, economics, and technology and how they affect decisions and outcomes. It also describes five potential scenarios for the world in 2040, based on different combinations of structural forces, emerging dynamics, and key uncertainties.
- EIU Risk Outlook 2022
10 Scenarios that could impact global growth and inflation.
- AXA Future Risks Report
A report on the key emerging risks from a global study measuring and ranking the evolution of the perception of emerging risks as seen by a panel of risk management experts as well as by public opinion.
- Global Risk Perceptions Report 2021
A report drawing on the results from a survey of over 200 scientists from all fields and disciplines, including experts from the Future Earth and International Science Council.
- and finally – Fault Lines Widen in the Global Recovery
A world economic outlook update from the International Monetary Fund.